Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Analysts Now Settling On $1,500 Price Target

As gold makes a new record high, $1,500 is being looked at more and more. An example is Anne-Laure Tremblay, who believes that gold will average $1,500 this year.
"We see gold averaging $1,500/oz for 2011 and peaking at an average of $1,600/oz. Low interest rates combined with higher inflation expectations mean that expected real rates of return are negative, which is supportive for gold prices, as it is for other commodities. Inflationary pressures, notably in China, boost demand for gold bars and jewelry as a hedge,” she told
The bedrock for those forecasts is continued easy-money policy by the Fed and a world awash in liquidity as a result of central banks combatting the '08 crisis and its aftermath.

Another analyst put the kibosh on the idea that gold is in a bubble. He acknowledged gold's ascent, but said its volatility [both downwards and upwards] is still fairly low. In bubble conditions, [primarily upward] volatility explodes.

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